The probable location of the plane is on the order of 1/2 the continental US in size. That's the mind-boggling thing to me.
That, and all the failsafes for the transponder were defeated, likely before the plane took off.
Inb4 LOST references.
When a plane is thought to have been able to fly for 7 hours, you get a huge search area. The real problem is that, we don't know that it did actually fly for 7 hours. Just had the potential.
based on everything I've heard and some of which has been posted in this thread, that plane is somewhere - safely - it was not crashed into anything to make an "attack", but its definitely chillin' in a hanger or some place some where, from the sounds of it. They did not crash it, based on what little we do know. But the motive and "what next steps" part is really the confusing thing here.
Then the question becomes, why was someone so motivated as to steal a single plane and kidnap 230+ people. Presumably, they would also have killed all occupants as well, given no random requests.
I am more curious if it did land somewhere, its gotta be much easier to narrow down the location based on that assumption and do some satellite imaging to take a look see. You need a decent size runway to land a plane like that, even if its a temperary run way. And then hiding something that big will not be at all easy. I know a whole lot of the effort is focusing on the wreckage in the ocean, but I'd think looking at the ping location, and tasking image satellites to look at places near those where its possible to land something like that would be a priority...
This is quite true. Constructing a temporary runway for a plane that size would be a huge task as well. They aren't really designed to land on a dirt runway. MSNBC had an interesting map of potential landing sites earlier. I'll have to look for that the.
If it crashed in the Indian Ocean I have my doubts they will find the main wreckage. Some debris might wash up somewhere but that might be it. At least with Air France they knew generally where the plane was and it still took 2 years to find the main wreckage. Even if they find the black boxes the cockpit voice recorder only has 2 hours of tape. I find it asinine that you can defeat all the tracking systems on a $200M plane. I think this incident will spur a change in airplane data tracking and transfer. There's no reason to rely solely on on board systems to track what happened and why when that stuff can be backed up through satellites.
+1 on not finding it for a long time if it's in the Indian Ocean.
Well then. I know what I'll be doing for the next hour.
^ that list may very much change in the coming weeks if there are no solid leads.
With more then a dozen nations looking for this plane and good enough assets being used. It almost appears something big is about to happen soon rather then later.
In other news not to go off topic, North Korea did fire short range missiles.
I doubt NK could have fired anything without someone noticing. Let alone actually be successful.